FedExCup and the Deutsche Bank Championship Round 3

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Weather: Mostly cloudy, with a high of 73. Wind NE at 10-15 mph, gusting to 25 mph later in the day. Due to the threat of high winds and possible heavy rain Monday, tee times will feature threesomes off split tees from 7:00 – 9:01 a.m.

FedExCup and the Deutsche Bank Championship
•       Projected Points needed to advance to the BMW Championship: 1,561
•       The top 30 players following the BMW Championship qualify for the Playoffs finale, the TOUR Championship. Prior to the TOUR Championship, a points reset will take place, giving all players in the field a mathematical opportunity to win the FedExCup title. The top five players control their own destiny and would claim the FedExCup with a victory at East Lake.
•       Vijay Singh (2008) and Henrik Stenson (2013) are the only players to win the Deutsche Bank Championship and FedExCup title in the same year (2008). Singh is also the only player to win the Deutsche Bank Championship twice (2004, 2008).
•       Jordan Spieth is the only FedExCup champion to miss the cut at the Deutsche Bank Championship the same year as his FedExCup win.

Third-Round Leaderboard
Paul Casey              66-66-66—198 (-15)
Brian Harman            68-65-68—201 (-12)
Smylie Kaufman  68-66-68—202 (-11)
Jimmy Walker            68-64-70—202 (-11)
Kevin Chappell          67-64-71—202 (-11)

Paul Casey, No. 59 in the FedExCup (projected No. 4)
Advancing to the Deutsche Bank Championship for just the fourth time, England’s Paul Casey carded his third-consecutive 5-under 66 Sunday (highlighted by a 2’5” eagle putt on the par-5 18th hole). At 15-under 198, Casey will enter the final round with a three-stroke cushion over Brian Harman.

Casey’s three-stroke lead equals the largest after 54 holes at the Deutsche Bank Championship (Adam Scott/2003, Vijay Singh/2004/2006, Louis Oosthuizen/2012).

A win on Monday for Casey would come in his 194th PGA TOUR start at the age of 39 years, one month and 15 days. His lone PGA TOUR victory came at the 2009 Shell Houston Open.

This marks the second 54-hole lead/co-lead of Casey’s PGA TOUR career, with the first coming at the site of his lone TOUR win, where he was a co-leader at the 2009 Shell Houston Open.

Casey’s week at a glance:
R1: 12 of 14 fairways, 13 of 18 greens, 4 of 5 scrambling, 26 putts.
R2: 7 of 14 fairways, 15 of 18 greens, 3 of 3 scrambling, 28 putts.
R3: 11 of 14 fairways, 14 of 18 greens, 3 of 4 scrambling, 28 putts.

Casey was forced to withdraw from last year’s Deutsche Bank Championship after his second round with a back injury. In his other two starts, he missed the cut in 2008 and finished T25 in 2010.

On the strength of four top-10 finishes, Casey comes into the week at No. 59 in the FedExCup standings. He has advanced to the BMW Championship three times; 2015/T23, 2010/2nd and 2009/DNS.

In his only two appearances in the TOUR Championship, Casey finished in the top five (T4/2010, T5/2015).

Casey is hoping to join the following international winners of the Deutsche Bank Championship: Henrik Stenson (2013), Rory McIlroy (2012), Vijay Singh (2008, 2004) and Adam Scott (2003).

Third-Round Lead Notes
A year ago, Henrik Stenson stood at 13-under 200 through 54 holes and held a one-stroke lead over eventual champion Rickie Fowler.

The 54-hole leader/co-leader has gone on to win just four of 13 times at the Deutsche Bank Championship (Adam Scott/2003, Vijay Singh/2004, Olin Browne/2005, Steve Stricker/2009).

The 54-hole leader/co-leader has gone on to win 19 of 40 (72-hole) stroke-play events on TOUR this season.

Brian Harman, No. 67 in the FedExCup (projected No. 10)
Making his fifth start in the Deutsche Bank Championship, Brian Harman birdied the par-5 18th hole for the third-consecutive day to move to 12-under-par 201, trailing Paul Casey by three strokes.

Prior to this year, on the three occasions (out of four) Harman advanced to the weekend at the Deutsche Bank Championship, he had failed to post a sub-par score. That changed with Sunday’s 3-under 68.

A win Monday would come in Harman’s 154th PGA TOUR start at the age of 29 years, 7 months and 17 days. He is in search of his second TOUR win (2014 John Deere Classic).

Harman’s week at a glance:
R1: 11 of 14 fairways, 15 of 18 greens, 1 of 3 scrambling, 29 putts.
R2: 12 of 14 fairways, 14 of 18 greens, 2 of 2 sand saves, 3 of 4 scrambling, 27 putts.
R3: 5 of 14 fairways, 15 of 18 greens, 1 of 1 sand save, 2 of 3 scrambling, 30 putts.

Harman is currently No. 67 in the FedExCup as he looks to advance to the BMW Championship for the fourth time. Harman has yet to make it to the TOUR Championship. His best FedExCup Playoffs appearance was in 2014 when he ended the season at the BMW Championship, ranked No. 36.

Harman missed the cut in his final three starts of the PGA TOUR Season, including the John Deere Classic, site of his lone PGA TOUR win (2014). Harman finished T22 at The Barclays.

Kevin Chappell, No. 13 in the FedExCup (projected No. 9)
Making his fifth start in the Deutsche Bank Championship, second-round leader Kevin Chappell followed a second-round 7-under 64 (matching his lowest score at this event) with a third-round even-par 71 to fall to T3.

Chappell, who is making his fifth start at the Deutsche Bank Championship (T12/2015, T50/2014, T22/2013, MC/2011), owns a career-high six top-10s on the PGA TOUR this season.

Chappell is still in search of his first PGA TOUR win in his 165th start. With a win this week, he would join Adam Scott as players to make the Deutsche Bank Championship their first win on TOUR (Scott won the inaugural tournament in 2003 as a sponsor invite).

Chappell is hoping to join Camilo Villegas as the only players to notch their maiden PGA TOUR title at a FedExCup Playoffs event (Villegas’ first PGA TOUR victory was the 2008 BMW Championship).

Chappell has five runner-up finishes on TOUR, three of which came this season (The RSM Classic and two tournaments where he finished second to Jason Day: Arnold Palmer Invitational and THE PLAYERS Championship).

At No. 13 in the FedExCup standings, Chappell entered his sixth FedExCup Playoffs in the best position of his career. Last year, Chappell made the second largest move up the FedExCup standings of any player in 2015, starting the Playoffs at No. 91 and ending his season at No. 52 (+39). He has never made it to the TOUR Championship.

With a win this week, Chappell would become the 17th first-time winner of the season. The record for most first-time winners in a season since 1970 is 18 (2002).

2002                 18
2015-16            16
2010                 15
2011                 14
1991                 14

Smylie Kaufman, No. 34 in the FedExCup (currently projected No. 15)
A week after fellow PGA TOUR rookie Emiliano Grillo finished second at The Barclays to move to No. 6 in the FedExCup Standings, Smylie Kaufman posted rounds of 68-66-68 to move to T3 at the Deutsche Bank Championship, four shots off the 54-hole lead held by Paul Casey.

In his first FedExCup Playoffs appearance, Kaufman missed the cut at last week’s Barclays. Kaufman is coming off four consecutive missed cuts, dating to The Open Championship.

This week marks the first time since his T10 at the Quicken Loans National Kaufman has posted back-to-back sub-par scores, and the first time since the CareerBuilder Challenge in January he has recorded consecutive rounds in the 60s (which also marks his only other PGA TOUR start that he opened with three rounds in the 60s).

One day after needing just 23 putts to complete a 5-under 66, Kaufman had 31 putts en route to a 68 Sunday.

In his rookie season, Kaufman has four top-10s, including his win at the Shriners Hospitals for Children Open. In addition to his win – Safeway Open (T10), World Golf Championships-Mexico Championship (T8) and Quicken Loans National (T10).

Additional player notes
PGA Championship winner Jimmy Walker (T3) posted a 1-under 70 Sunday and is currently four behind Paul Casey. A T9 at the Deutsche Bank Championship remains Walker’s only top-10 finish in a FedExCup Playoffs event. He is seeking to become the fourth player to win the Deutsche Bank Championship in the same year as a major:
2012    Rory McIlroy    won PGA Championship
2006    Tiger Woods     won The Open Championship and PGA Championship
2004    Vijay Singh     won PGA Championship

Rory McIlroy eagled the par-5 18th hole en route to a 5-under 66 Sunday, moving from T30 to T7. The eagle was his 15th in the FedExCup Playoffs, second most in Playoffs history (along with Dustin Johnson and Bubba Watson) and trailing only Hunter Mahan (16). McIlroy is currently projected No. 31 in the FedExCup standings.

After opening with matching 68s, Jordan Spieth posted a 1-over 72 to fall to T23 with 18 holes remaining at the Deutsche Bank Championship. Spieth finished T10 at last week’s Barclays. In contrast, he missed the cut in the first two Playoffs events in 2015, before going on to finish T13 at the BMW Championship and first at the TOUR Championship, en route to claiming the FedExCup.

Sean O’Hair, who finished T2 at The Barclays to make the second biggest move in FedExCup history and advance to the next Playoffs event, has rounds of 71-68-69 and enters the final round T23.

Current FedExCup leader Patrick Reed sits T11 and is projected to hang on to the top spot in the FedExCup.

Jason Day, currently projected to remain No. 2 in the FedExCup, turned in a third-round 3-under 68 to move to T33. He has just five over-par scores in 35 overall rounds at TPC Boston, with none coming in the final round. If history repeats, expect an even-par 71 from Day on Monday. Here’s a look at his eight final rounds at the Deutsche Bank Championship, beginning in 2008 (71-68-71-68-71-69-71-69).

Defending champion Rickie Fowler sits T33 (a distant 11 strokes behind Paul Casey) as he attempts to join Vijay Singh (2004, 2008) as the only multiple winners of the Deutsche Bank Championship.

FedExCup Implications
Players on FedExCup Bubbles
Rank    Player                  DBC R3 Position FedExCup projection
30      Daniel Berger           T33                     No. 33
70      Chez Reavie             MC                      No. 81
100     Chad Campbell           T42                     No. 86

Players ranked between No. 71-100 this week need a good finish to move into the top 70 in the standings to move on to the BMW Championship. Here’s a list of players who are currently projected to move inside the top 70:

Player  Current FEC     DBC R3 Pos      Projected FEC
Billy Hurley III        77      T11     54
Chris Kirk      75      T23     60
Harold Varner III       87      T11     62
David Hearn     92      T11     65
Hudson Swafford 82      T23     66
Steve Stricker  97      T11     68

Here’s the list of players who entered the week inside the top 70 but are now projected to fall outside the number to advance to the BMW Championship:

Player  Current FEC     DBC R3 Pos.     Projected FEC
Jon Curran      60      72      71
Jerry Kelly     61      MC      73
Johnson Wagner  69      T61     76
Martin Laird    63      MC      77
Colt Knost      65      MC      78
Chez Reavie     70      MC      81

Five players entered The Barclays ranked No. 101 – 125 in the FedExCup standings and played their way into this week’s Deutsche Bank Championship. Here’s how they stand through three rounds at TPC Boston:

Player  Current FEC     DBC R3 Pos      Projected FEC
Sean O’Hair     15      T23     18
Sung Kang       88      MC      96
John Huh        90      T64     95
Tyrone Van Aswegen      93      MC      98
Derek Fathauer  99      MC      100

Rookies and the FedExCup
Daniel Berger (currently T33 after a third-round 3-over 74) was the only rookie to advance to the TOUR Championship last season, finishing 11th in the FedExCup standings to earn the PGA TOUR Rookie of the Year honor. No rookies advanced to Atlanta in 2013-14. Last year, nine rookies qualified for the FedExCup Playoffs. Rookies who advanced this year include:

Player  Before Barclays Before DBC      DBC R3 Pos.     Projected FEC
Smylie Kaufman  26      34      T3      15
Emiliano Grillo 32      6       T48     8
Patton Kizzire  58      72      MC      Eliminated
Harold Varner III       82      87      T11     62
Brett Stegmaier 101     Eliminated      —
Michael Kim     115     Eliminated      —

First Timers in the FedExCup Playoffs
Here’s a list of players making their first-ever Playoffs appearance:

Player  Current FEC     DBC R3 Pos      Projected FEC
Emiliano Grillo No. 6   T48     No. 8
Si Woo Kim      No. 22  22      No. 22
Branden Grace   No. 33  T64     No. 41
Smylie Kaufman  No. 34  T3      No. 15
Jamie Lovemark  No. 40  T48     No. 48
Patton Kizzire  No. 72  MC      No. 82
Patrick Rodgers No. 76  T48     No. 75
Danny Willett   No. 86  DNP     No. 94
Harold Varner III       No. 87  T11     No. 62
Sung Kang       No. 88  MC      No. 96
Tyrone Van Aswegen      No. 93  MC      No. 98
Derek Fathauer  No. 99  MC      No. 100

Past FedExCup champions still remaining in the Playoffs
Tiger Woods (2007, 2009) is the only two-time winner of the FedExCup. Here’s a list of past FedExCup champions who are still alive in the Playoffs:

Player  Current FEC     DBC R3 Pos      Projected FEC
Jordan Spieth   No. 5   T23     No. 6
Brandt Snedeker No. 9   T56     No. 13
Henrik Stenson  No. 21  T23     No. 23
Bill Haas       No. 36  T56     No. 46
Billy Horschel  No. 51  MC      No. 61
Jim Furyk       No. 84  T48     No. 80
Vijay Singh     No. 95  MC      No. 99

Miscellaneous Notes
Bogey-free rounds
R1: Jim Furyk (67), James Hahn (65), Billy Hurley III (67), Ryan Moore (65), Justin Rose (68), Jhonattan Vegas (66).
R2: Paul Casey (66), Jason Dufner (68), Branden Grace (68), Spencer Levin (67), Sean O’Hair (68), Justin Rose (67), Charl Schwartzel (66).
R3: Louis Oosthuizen (64), Scott Brown (65), James Hahn (66), Ryan Moore (68), David Hearn (69).

Scoring Averages at the par-71 TPC Boston:
Front 9         Back 9          Total           Cumulative
R1:     33.165          34.505          69.670          —
R2:     35.392          34.588          69.979          69.825
R3:     35.903          35.111          71.014          70.147

The par-3 third hole played the toughest Sunday, yielding a 3.278 average. The easiest was the par-5 18th hole at 4.625.

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